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Forget autonomous vehicles. Veoneer, the automotive technology company, predicts most cars sold in 2030 will have collaborative driving technologies built-in.
Making the case as to why collaborative driving will happen before autonomous driving, CEO Jan Carlson predicted that by the next decade 90% of vehicles will be a collaborative experience in which there is trust between the driver and the vehicle's automation. He made the comments during a panel discussion at CES, the tech conference going on all week in Las Vegas.
Self-driving promises haven't materialized
That flies in the face of just a couple of years ago when the promises of self-driving vehicles were just around the corner.
The world couldn't get enough of the idea of sitting back and scrolling social media while the vehicle drove them to work. That euphoric optimism was dampened in 2019 as none of those self-driving promises came to be. Turns out perfecting the technology isn't as easy as it appears.
Carlson argued that in order for autonomous driving to take off in the decades to come to the technology will have to prove itself and that means the driver will be behind the wheel for many years to come.
"Whether its blindspot protection, adaptive cruise control or letting go of the steering wheel the driver has to know for a fact the feature works 100% out of 100 occasions," said Taylor. " You expect this from the brake pedal you have to expect this from an active safety solution."
Veoneer shows off new autonomous tech
The whole idea behind collaborative driving is to reduce the number of traffic accidents that have been on the rise in the last seven years. According to Veoneer data, there were nearly 1.4 million traffic fatalities in 2018 and 50 million more people injured. That's up 12% from 2013 when the figure stood at 1.25 million.
"Active safety and collaborative driving are at the core of safety technologies and the main reason to introduce them is to break the trend of increased fatalities," said Taylor. "If they don't they fail in their basic purpose."
During CES 2020 Veoneer is showcasing new technology that enables drivers to push a button while driving and take their hands off the steering wheel. Veoneer will do demos during CES marking the first time it shows off the tech on public roads.
The company is also revealing next-generation vision cameras and radars, driver and in-cabin monitoring and thermal imaging.
Autonomy will be evolutionary
The way Carlson sees it the path to full autonomy will be evolutionary, not revolutionary. That means small increments will build on other developments until the world is ready for self-driving vehicles. After all, fundamentally it is a safety technology that has to develop and mature at a pace that all of the ecosystems can handle. "The next real step toward true collaborative driving is the introduction of multiple sensors and increased computing power require to create an improved driving experience."